(Adds details, table) By Nayara Figueiredo SAO PAULO, April 20 (Reuters) - Brazil's 2020/2021 total corn crop could reach a record of 107.3 million tonnes, according to the average of 11 analysts polled by Reuters on Tuesday, even as the country's second corn crop was planted outside the ideal climate window. If the average of forecasts is confirmed, Brazil's total production will have grown 4.6% from last season, according to government estimates, driven by an expansion of area bigger than 1 million hectares (2.4 million acres). Despite the projection showing growers may set a new record for corn production, the market is apprehensive about potential losses given the fact that Brazil's second corn crop, which represents the bulk of output, may receive less rain than needed to develop after planting delays. Consultancy AgRural, for example, revised its output estimate down by 3 million tonnes, to 103.4 million tonnes, which is the lowest figure in the poll. The average of forecasts also represents a drop of 900,000 tonnes in comparison with a survey conducted by Reuters in February with the same forecasters. "Our main (output forecast) cuts were made in relation to Paraná and Mato Grosso do Sul, which have had practically no rain since March," said AgRural analyst Daniele Siqueira. "And although they need rain though May, some areas in these states have already experienced losses," she said. Source Total corn Prior forecast Production (mln of Area (mln of Output (mln of Area (mln of tns) ha) tns) ha) AgRural 103.4 19.4 106.4 19.1 Céleres 108.06 20.04 108.4 20.041 Conab 108.96 19.71 105.5 19.09 Cogo 109.1 19.6 106.3 19.152 Datagro 109.31 19.74 110 19.618 IHS Markit 104 19.8 108.6 19.7 Safras & Mercado 112.81 20.75 113.46 20.19 StoneX 105.06 19.29 110.22 19.45 Refinitiv 105.6 19 105.2 18.9 Rabobank 105 19.2 107 19.2 USDA 109 109 average 107.3 19.65 108.2 19,44 Highest estimate 112.81 20.75 113.46 20,19 Smallest 103.4 19 105.2 18,9 estimate 2019/20 (Govt) 102.58 102.52 Avg vs 2019/2020 4.6% 5.54% (Reporting by Nayara Figueiredo Writing by Ana Mano Editing by Leslie Adler and Jonathan Oatis)
© Copyright Thomson Reuters 2021. Click For Restrictions - http://about.reuters.com/fulllegal.asp
The Link LonkApril 21, 2021 at 03:08AM
https://ift.tt/2QLXUrO
UPDATE 1-Brazil's total corn crop may reach unprecedented 107.3 mln T -poll - Successful Farming
https://ift.tt/3gguREe
Corn
No comments:
Post a Comment